Author: dfmines

Macroeconomist Lyn Alden expects Bitcoin to finish 2025 higher than its current price of around $85,000, though she says it would have been much higher if not for US President Donald Trump’s tariff announcement in February.“Before all this tariff kerfuffle, I would have had a higher price target,” Alden told Natalie Brunell on the April 17 episode of Coin Stories. “My guess is that we end up higher at the end of the year than we are now, at least,” she added.Bitcoin’s 24/7 trading bolsters volatility when TradFi “freaking out”However, she said that a “massive liquidity unlock” could be the catalyst needed for Bitcoin (BTC) to reach more optimistic targets, similar to those before the tariffs were introduced.For example, if the US bond market “broke” and the US Federal Reserve had to step in with measures like yield curve control or quantitative easing (QE), Alden explained.Lyn Alden spoke to Coin Stories’ host Natalie Brunell on April 17. Source: Natalie BrunellWhile Alden said that there is a “good chance” Bitcoin reclaims the $100,000 price level before the end of the year, she emphasized that market “down days” will remain a challenge for the asset, especially since Bitcoin trades 24/7, unlike traditional stock markets with trading hours.“Because it trades 24/7, if people are worried about how things are going to open on Monday, some pools of capital can sell their Bitcoin on a Sunday and prepare,” she said. Alden explained that crypto’s round-the-clock trading contributes to its “volatile pricing,” particularly when traditional financial markets are “freaking out.”At the time of publication, Bitcoin is trading at $84,868, according to CoinMarketCap data.However, Alden said Bitcoin can “disconnect” from the Nasdaq 100. “Anything that hurts Nasdaq margins but doesn’t affect global liquidity,” she said. Alden said that a repeat of the five years leading up to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, could potentially be favorable for Bitcoin.Related: Bitcoin whales absorb 300% of newly mined BTC supply — Is $100K next?She pointed to the 2003–2007 period, where there was a weaker US dollar cycle, and while there wasn’t a mass exodus of capital, it did flow into “emerging markets,” commodities, gold, and other assets — with US stocks not “really being the place to be.”“If we encounter a five-year period like that again, that could be a period where Bitcoin does pretty well, even as the US stock market doesn’t do particularly well.”Alden wrote in a September research report that Bitcoin moves in the direction of global M2 83% of the time in a given 12-month period. The research termed “Bitcoin a Global Liquidity Barometer” compared Bitcoin to other major asset classes such as SPX, gold and VT, and BTC topped the correlation index concerning global liquidity.Magazine: Uni students crypto ‘grooming’ scandal, 67K scammed by fake women: Asia Express

On-chain data shows the largest of Bitcoin investors have continued to buy recently. Here’s whether the other cohorts have followed in the footsteps of these titans or not. Mid-Sized Bitcoin Holders May Finally Be Showing A Shift In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the how the Accumulation Trend Score has looked for the various cohorts in the Bitcoin market. The “Accumulation Trend Score” is an indicator that tells us about whether the Bitcoin investors are participating in buying or selling. The metric checks not only the balance changes happening in the wallets of the holders, but also the size of the holdings themselves. This means that the indicator puts a higher weightage on the changes taking place that involve the large investors. When the metric has a value greater than 0.5, it means the large addresses (or a large number of small entities) are participating in accumulation. The closer the metric gets to the 1 mark, the stronger this behavior becomes. Related Reading: This Bitcoin Bear Confirmation Is Yet To Appear, Glassnode Reveals On the other hand, the indictor being under 0.5 implies the holders are taking part in distribution, or simply not doing any accumulation. Here, the extreme point lies at the 0 level. In the context of the current topic, the Accumulation Trend Score of the entire sector isn’t of interest, but rather that of each investor cohort separately. There are different ways to classify holders, but the relevant one here is on the basis of wallet size. Below is the chart for the indicator shared by the analytics firm that shows how the behavior has changed for the Bitcoin holder groups over the past year. As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score took a bright red shade for all cohorts back in February, indicating market-wide strong distribution. Since this selloff, the indicator’s value has gone up for the various cohorts, implying a cooldown of selling pressure has occurred. This cooldown has varied across the groups, however, with one cohort in particular diverging far away from the rest: the 10,000+ BTC holders. Popularly, the investors carrying between 1,000 to 10,000 BTC are known a the whales, so these holders, who are even more humongous, could be termed the “mega whales.” From the chart, it’s apparent that this group took to buying in March and has since seen its accumulation deepen as the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score has reached a value of around 0.7. The rest of the market has also been easing up its distribution in this period, but none of them have moved into the accumulation territory yet. That said, the 10 to 100 BTC investors are close, with the score now sitting at 0.5 for them. “This suggests at a possible shift in sentiment from mid-sized holders,” notes Glassnode. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Cap Sets New Record, But Momentum Fades It now remains to be seen whether the trend of increase in the indicator would continue in the coming days and the rest of the Bitcoin cohorts would catch up with the mega whales or not. BTC Price Bitcoin has taken to sideways movement recently as its price is still trading around $84,500. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Binance just ignited a compliance revolution in India’s crypto market, enforcing full KYC re-verification to tighten security, align with AML laws, and redefine user accountability. Binance Triggers Full KYC Lockdown in India Crypto exchange Binance announced a policy update on April 18 mandating know your customer (KYC) re-verification for all users in India, regardless of […]

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Despite broader market interest, Bitcoin continues to hover near the $84,000 mark, showing limited upward momentum. At the time of writing, the asset is trading at $84,596, down 0.1% in the last 24 hours. This places BTC approximately 22% below its all-time high of over $109,000 set earlier this year. The price action follows a recovery from earlier lows but remains range-bound, suggesting hesitancy among investors as macroeconomic uncertainties persist. One of the emerging observations comes from CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan, who compared Bitcoin’s current behavior to past correction cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Still Close To Extreme Fear—Green Sign For Recovery? Speculation Eases, Setting the Stage for Potential Recovery In Dan’s recent QuickTake post titled “Cryptocurrency Market, Similar to the 2024 Correction Period,” Dan assessed the speculative dynamics of the market through the lens of short-term holder activity. His analysis suggests that the recent cooling-off period might mirror patterns observed during last year’s correction phase. According to Dan, one reliable gauge of market overheating is the percentage of Bitcoin supply held for one week to one month. When this metric rises, it often signals speculative enthusiasm, which can precede corrections. During previous bullish phases, such increases in short-term holdings were followed by pullbacks, marking peaks in investor exuberance. In the current cycle, Dan notes that this metric has once again reached a region previously associated with market bottoms—the same yellow box (on the chart shared) that aligned with the 2024 correction low. Based on this, he posits that speculative excesses have largely subsided, opening the door to renewed price growth if macroeconomic conditions continue to improve. However, he also emphasized that further consolidation may still occur before a broader trend shift materializes. Crypto Market, Similar to the 2024 Correction “Given that this ratio has now reached the yellow-box region, which was the bottom of the 2024 correction period, it seems likely that the current market will follow a similar path as the 2024 correction.” – By @DanCoinInvestor pic.twitter.com/YGNZxQnUXj — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 18, 2025 Bitcoin Whale Activity Suggests Imminent Volatility Complementing this analysis, CryptoQuant contributor Mignolet pointed out a notable shift in coin movement behavior. In a separate post, he observed that around 170,000 BTC recently moved from the 3–6 month holding cohort. This group typically includes mid-term holders, and substantial activity from them has historically preceded increased price volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Futures Sentiment Weakens, Is The Ongoing Recovery Running Out of Steam? Mignolet illustrated his findings with data, noting that such movements have often signaled major price action, both upward and downward. Green box indicators on his chart marked rallies, while red boxes highlighted periods of decline. While the direction remains uncertain, he highlighted that the increased activity is an early warning sign that traders should be alert for a breakout or breakdown in the near future. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Gold added a trillion dollars to its market cap in one day. That is roughly the size of the entire bitcoin market. Crypto have come a long way but it's not there yet… the battle is an uphill one! With more nations starting to discuss about Bitcoin strategic reserves, we are not far off at…
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The Cardano price may be preparing for a powerful rally toward $1.7, as new indicators suggest a potential recovery. A leading crypto analyst has identified multiple bullish catalysts that could drive ADA’s momentum and help propel the cryptocurrency to this bullish target.  Institutional Interest To Fuel Cardano Price Recovery According to a recent technical analysis by a pseudonymous TradingView analyst, ‘Risk_Adj_Return,’ the Cardano price is suddenly showing signs of recovery after a period of sluggish performance. This seemingly bullish turnaround has sparked predictions of a potential surge to $1.7.  Related Reading: Cardano Price Prediction: ADA Set To Crash To $0.4 After Correction To Liquidity Zone According to the analyst’s report, several factors have been fueling ADA’s recovery. Despite its downtrend, large spot purchases have been observed, hinting at growing interest from institutional investors. The analyst also mentioned that political developments from key figures, such as US President Donald Trump, could spark further bullish sentiment for Cardano.  Although many of the present institutional buy-ins for Cardano have been followed by sell-offs, possibly from short-term traders, the sheer volume suggests that major players are closely watching the market. Part of this renewed institutional interest is attributed to the US Federal Reserve (FED) and broader macroeconomic signals.  Investors may be hoping for a shift in monetary policy or clear signs of easing inflation in the upcoming FOMC meeting, as this could boost risk assets like ADA. Any alignment between the Cardano price action and the FED decision could become a significant catalyst for upside momentum.  In his Cardano price chart, the TradingView analyst highlighted a bullish long trade setup on the 4-hour timeframe, utilizing the Heikin-Ashi candles. The trading strategy is supported by multiple take-profit levels, with the entry point marked near Cardano’s current price range. A clear stop loss has also been placed just below the local support to manage downside risks.  The trade plan involves three key take-profit levels: $0.73, $0.96, and $1.21. These targets align with previous resistance zones, allowing traders to potentially lock in gains before ADA reaches its ultimate upside target of $1.74. ADA Breakout Unlikely Amid US Trade Tensions The Cardano price is showing signs of strength, according to a market expert, ‘AMCrypto’, who notes that it is holding firm at a critical ascending support trendline on the 4-hour chart. After a recent decline, ADA bounced off the trendline, maintaining the bullish structure of an Ascending Triangle. Related Reading: Cardano Price Could Be Set For 100% Rally As This Bullish Triangle Has Formed On The Daily Timeframe Currently trading around $0.61, Cardano still faces resistance at $0.67. A confirmed close above this threshold could signal a breakout, potentially propelling its price toward the $0.73 – $0.75 range.  However, despite these bullish technicals, macroeconomic uncertainty remains a key obstacle to ADA’s breakout potential. The ongoing US-China trade war tensions continue to fuel market volatility, creating headwinds for a sustained rally. The current market decline and instability fueled by this trade war have also kept many investors on the sidelines as they await stability. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com