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Daily Crypto Discussion – November 4, 2025 (GMT+0)

Welcome to the Daily Crypto Discussion thread. Please read the disclaimer and rules before participating. Disclaimer: Consider all information posted here with several liberal heaps of salt, and always cross check any information you may read on this thread with known sources. Any trade information posted in this open thread may be highly misleading, and…
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Caution In The Crypto Market: Expert Warns Of Bearish Phase Unfolding This November

November has kicked off on a negative note for crypto prices, with Bitcoin (BTC) briefly dipping toward $105,000 on Monday. This decline has sparked a renewed sense of bearish sentiment among investors, and experts caution that conditions could worsen in the coming days. November Deadline Approaches Market expert CryptoBirb recently expressed concerns on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), noting that the market is already ten days into a bearish cycle. According to CryptoBirb, diving into on-chain data, the more alarming the picture appears. Related Reading: Solana Price Drops Below $180 Despite $199M ETF Inflows, What’s Behind the Decline? CryptoBirb’s analysis begins with cycle peak data: it has been 1,078 days since the low in November 2022, which is 101.2% of the crypto cycle complete. Additionally, it has been 563 days since the last Halving, with 45 days remaining within the typical 518 to 580-day peak range.  Alarmingly, the anticipated rally leading to this peak has not materialized, and there are only 17 days left before the window for a peak closes on November 20. Missed breakouts during this time frame have signaled the end of previous bullish cycles. When comparing the current situation to the 2017 cycle, it is noted that Bitcoin reached its peak on December 17, 2017, 1,068 days after its low. With BTC now 1,078 days into the current cycle, the chances of a late top are diminishing with each passing day that the cryptocurrency remains below $113,000.  From a performance standpoint, Bitcoin is down 16% from its all-time high of $126,200 and has only gained 8.2% year-to-date. The market’s leading crypto has faced repeated rejections near the $113,000 to $114,000 range and is currently trading below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $109,882.  Historically, November typically sees an average gain of 17.5%, with positive performance in 10 out of the last 15 years. However, the expert points that when November begins in the red, it often indicates that the cycle is already shifting. Potential Bullish Factors Amid Ongoing Crypto Concerns Adding to this bearish sentiment, DeFi researcher DeFiIgnas has outlined several factors complicating the crypto market’s trajectory. These include what he calls “the speculative nature of the artificial intelligence (AI) bubble,” the failure of bullish news to invigorate crypto prices, uncertainty surrounding entities that collapsed after the October 10 crash, and the cyclical nature of the market.  Additionally, the selling activity from long-term holders and negative crypto exchange-traded funds (ETF) flows contribute to the prevailing concerns. Related Reading: XRP Bear Signal Triggered: Will The Top Altcoin Drop 70-80% From Here? Despite these challenges, DeFiIgnas also identified some potential bullish factors that could foster recovery instead of further declines.  These include easing liquidity and interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), a lack of euphoria in the crypto space, slow but steady institutional adoption, and the potential passage of a US crypto market structure bill.  Historically strong performance in the fourth quarter, stablecoin supply at all-time highs, and a recent US trade deal with China could also provide a counterbalance to the prevailing bearish sentiment. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Former President Obama Criticizes Trump’s Family Over Growing Crypto Fortune

Former US President Barack Obama has criticized Donald Trump over his involvement with cryptocurrency. Speaking during a rally on Saturday in support of Virginia Democratic gubernatorial candidate Abigail Spanberger, Obama accused President Trump of prioritizing his “billionaire pals and finance bros” through cryptocurrency dealings. submitted by /u/LavishlyRitzyy [link] [comments]

XRP and RLUSD Shine as Ripple Prime Debuts US Multi-Asset Brokerage Platform

Ripple propels XRP and RLUSD into the spotlight with the U.S. debut of Ripple Prime, a next-generation trading platform uniting institutional access to digital assets and traditional markets through advanced liquidity, cross-margining, and integrated multi-asset execution. XRP and RLUSD Lead Ripple’s Bullish US Launch of Prime Trading Platform Ripple’s expansion into the U.S. institutional market […]

Crypto whale who nailed the October crash opens $55M BTC and ETH longs

HyperUnit, the whale that made $200 million from the US-China tariff crash last month, is now betting on a rebound in Bitcoin and Ether, opening $55 million in long positions.

Crypto Bull Case Vs. Bear Case: These Forces Divide The Market

On November 2, 2025, crypto analyst Ignas | DeFi distilled crypto’s current standoff into a clean ledger of pros and cons. The Bearish Case For Crypto The first bear pillar is the “AI bubble” overhang. Late-October headlines crystallized the debate as Nvidia briefly breached a $5 trillion market value, a milestone that sharpened concern that equity valuations tied to AI infrastructure spending may be running ahead of realized returns. Point two—“bullish news fail to pump”—was on display as “Uptober” ended with a whimper for the crypto market. Despite intermittent policy tailwinds and strong ETF inflows mid-month, both Bitcoin and Ethereum faded into month-end, and US spot ETF flows turned sharply negative over the final three trading days of October, a pattern consistent with risk aversion after the Oct. 10–11 shock. Related Reading: Is Crypto ‘Boring’ Now? Bitwise CEO Says The Market Is Changing That shock, the “10/10 crash,” is the third bear lever. The two-day downdraft followed a sudden tariff escalation threat from the White House and produced one of the largest one-day liquidations in crypto history, spurring a rush for downside hedges and leaving the market probing for “dead entities” and hidden impairments. Cycle timing is Ignas’ fourth bear note. The fourth Bitcoin halving occurred on April 20, 2024 (block 840,000). Prior cycles do not map one-for-one, but the post-halving window is a pattern which gets a lot of attention at the moment. If the “cycle is not dead,” a Bitcoin top may already be in or is looming by the end of the year. “Old OG wallets selling” is the fifth bear claimant—and, for once, the chain tells a clear story. Since mid-October, long-term holders have materially increased net distribution, with Glassnode and other trackers flagging outflows on the order of tens of thousands of BTC, alongside headline-grabbing awakenings of Satoshi-era wallets. This does not prove panic, but it does inject supply at a delicate moment. Negative ETF flows round out the bear list. Farside’s fund-by-fund ledger shows pronounced outflows on October 29–31 across several US spot Bitcoin ETFs, with total daily net redemptions exceeding $470 million on October 29 and $488 million on October 30, before another hit on October 31 (191 million). While October closed with a inflow total of 3.424 billion, the message: the “fast money” cohort that chased the summer breakout was, at least temporarily, in retreat. Buffett’s caution is the macro bear exclamation point. Berkshire Hathaway’s third-quarter print revealed a record $381.7 billion cash pile and a twelfth straight quarter as a net seller of equities—a posture that telegraphs wariness about broad risk assets and liquidity conditions even as operating earnings rise. For crypto, this is not a direct flow, but it is a bellwether for global risk appetite. The Bull Case For Crypto The bull case, however, is not hand-waving. Start with “liquidity easing & interest cuts.” The ECB has already delivered substantial easing this year and paused; the Bank of England has begun cutting; and in the US, the Federal Reserve is also expected to close out the year with two more cuts while ending quantitative tightening. Related Reading: Powell, The FOMC, And Crypto: The Message Everyone Missed Ignas also says “no clear euphoria,” and—empirically—he’s right. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index spent the past week toggling between “Fear” and low “Neutral,” printing in the mid-30s to low-40s as of November 3. That’s a long way from the 80s–90s “extreme greed” that often sets up blow-off tops, and it supports the idea that positioning is not yet dangerously crowded. Institutional adoption remains the quiet compounding force in the bull ledger. With $30.2 billion year-to-date inflows, spot Bitcoin ETFs are fueling most of the market strength. On policy, the US did more than chatter in 2025: the Senate passed, and President Trump signed, a bipartisan stablecoin law in July. A broader market-structure bill remains in play, but even the stablecoin win is non-trivial for on-chain liquidity and payments rails. Seasonality also favors patience. Since 2013, Q4 has been Bitcoin’s strongest quarter on average, with multiple cycles posting outsized November–December runs. Then there’s the stablecoin plumbing. Despite October’s chaos, aggregate stablecoin float sits around $307–308 billion and notched fresh all-time highs in mid-October—a sign that dry powder inside crypto’s own rails remains abundant and ready to mobilize if confidence stabilizes. As of today, DefiLlama pegs the total at roughly $307.6 billion. Finally, the US–China trade war has seen extremely positive progress. “This is the BIGGEST de-escalation yet. Under the new US-China trade deal, President Trump made a HUGE agreement with China: China will suspend ALL retaliatory tariffs announced since March 4th. And, China will suspend or remove ALL retaliatory non-tariff countermeasures taken since March 4th. This is not getting nearly enough attention,” The Kobeissi Letter wrote via X on Sunday. At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $3.56 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Community feedback on non-headlining features in Glamsterdam

submitted by /u/abcoathup [link] [comments]

Hollywood’s Next Frontier: New Prediction Market Lets Users Bet on Movies, TV, Gaming

Entertainment meets blockchain in a seismic leap as a new prediction market lets fans legally participate in federally regulated entertainment event contracts—placing predictions on movies, music, and celebrity moments—merging crypto innovation with mainstream entertainment in a first-of-its-kind experience. Crypto and Hollywood Unite for Groundbreaking Prediction Market Prediction markets are stepping into the entertainment spotlight as […]

Omg is this the time to stock up the bitcoin or is it on a downward spiral??

submitted by /u/Interesting_Law6118 [link] [comments]