How do you predict the market?

Now I learned that anything can happen and at the same time, I should learn how to read the signal but in the end, you're just guessing the knowledge you gain.

Still, I want to start a topic by asking what is your guess on the amount will be?

what's your prediction? and why? I have heard of tournaments like predictany are avenues for predictions. Any thoughts about this?

Please, without any bases of Tesla and Elon did this and that so it will be a bull run.

Also, I know it's demand and supply is there any more reason heavy reason why you see that the crypto value could go up or down?

Maybe you are uncertain about your prediction? feel free here to answer and to everyone that has more knowledge don't judge them and I am just curious on what are the reason of everyone that if there is any more reason why.