$1k into the Top 10 Cryptos on January 1st, 2025 (JUNE Update/Month 6/-18%)

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$1k into the Top 10 Cryptos on January 1st, 2025 (JUNE Update/Month 6/-18%)

$1k into the Top 10 Cryptos on January 1st, 2025 (JUNE Update/Month 6/-18%)

EXPERIMENT – Tracking 2025 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies – Month Six – Down -18%

Find the full blog post with all the tables and graphs here.

Welcome to your monthly no-shill data dump: Here's the fifth monthly report for the 2025 Top Ten Experiment featuring BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, USDC, ADA, Tron, and AVAX.

SNAPSHOTS ALWAYS TAKEN ON FIRST OF THE MONTH (data below reflects 1 JULY Snapshot).

tl;dr

  • What's this all about? I purchased $100 of each of Top 10 Cryptos in Jan. 2018, haven't sold or traded, reporting monthly for 7.5 years for your reading pleasure. Did the same annually in 2019 – 2025. Learn more about the history and rules of the Experiments (including why in the world I would include stablecoins) on the blog.
  • JUNE Highlights: All flat or red, except TRON. BTC in overall lead, Tron in second, XRP in third: also the only three cryptos in the 2025 Experiment aren't underwater YTD. The Class of 2025 is now tied for the worst performing portfolio with the 2022 Top Ten.
  • DCA'ing once a year into Top Ten Cryptos for the last 8 years has produced better returns than if you'd done the same with the S&P 500 over the same time period (+256% vs S&P500's +70% – see below for details).

Month Six – Down -18%

https://preview.redd.it/jf3gp1jac1df1.png?width=894&format=png&auto=webp&s=b5d5bc6de106a986bf8a9dea335d5b4894e54ffa

The 2025 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Portfolio is BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, USDC, ADA, Tron, AVAX.

June highlights for the 2025 Top Ten Portfolio:

  • Flat or in the red
  • Tron outperforms the field in June
  • Halfway through 2025, only three cryptos are in positive territory: BTC, Tron, and XRP (just barely)

June Ranking

Here’s a look at the movement in the ranks one month into the 2025 Top Ten Index Fund Experiment:

https://preview.redd.it/5rf4nvhbc1df1.png?width=271&format=png&auto=webp&s=dc848d4c016db61171a8fcebf69cd91983093ee4

Six months into 2025, not much movement: only AVAX has dropped out of the Top Ten.

June Winners and Losers

June WinnersTron was the only crypto to finish in positive territory this month, up +3%.

June LosersADA (-20%), DOGE (-17%), and AVAX (-17%) lost the most ground this month.

Overall Update: BTC maintains slight lead over Tron, portfolio under water, AVAX and DOGE in last place

Year to date BTC (+13%) maintains a slight lead over second place Tron (+9%). The rest are either flat or in the red with AVAX and DOGE taking up the rear at -52% and -50% respectively.

The initial $100 invested in first place BTC six months ago is worth $113 today.

YTD the 2025 Top Ten Portfolio is down -18%. The last time the 2025 Top Ten portfolio was in positive territory was the end of January).

Overall return on $1,000 investment since January 1st, 2025:

https://preview.redd.it/nw0wskmcc1df1.png?width=253&format=png&auto=webp&s=49b066365f64cb5a03edc45e3cb65176967066ff

The 2025 Top Ten Portfolio shed $43 in June, about the same it gained in May. The initial $1000 investment on New Year’s Day 2025 is now worth $824, roughly the same value as February and April.

Here’s a visual summary of year one of the 2025 Top Ten portfolio:

https://preview.redd.it/bz8xwchdc1df1.png?width=172&format=png&auto=webp&s=af0a814833a9a92f0c16192de0bbb71470b891ac

2025 Top Ten Portfolio vs. Coinbase’s COIN50

The first Top Ten Crypto Experiment was started on 1 January 2018 in an attempt to capture the gains of the entire market. Much has changed over the last 7.5 years, including the introduction of index products designed to capture the entire crypto market (instead of manually buying coins and tokens like I do for my Experiments).

This year’s friendly competition is between The 2025 Top Ten Portfolio and the Coinbase 50 Index (COIN50). COIN50 tracks the performance of the 50 largest digital assets by market cap, rebalanced quarterly.

On 1 January 2025, COIN50 was valued at $450.54. Here’s the snapshot, six months later:

https://preview.redd.it/f2qhbjpec1df1.png?width=203&format=png&auto=webp&s=a73ebc7e9437656cb2507ca1b76e692af33b469e

June Performances:

  • The 2025 Top Ten Portfolio: -5%
  • COIN50: -3%

The June monthly victory goes to: COIN50 (its third monthly victory in a row)

Overall since January 1st, 2025:

  • The 2025 Top Ten Portfolio: -18%
  • COIN50: -14%

Overall lead: COIN50

For the more visual, here’s the table I’ll be using to track the friendly Top Ten vs. COIN50 competition this year:

https://preview.redd.it/30weblofc1df1.png?width=758&format=png&auto=webp&s=18cb859bd4416132facdaf6f33e6d9b6cbb6e84a

Combining the 2018 – 2025 Top Ten Crypto Portfolios

The 2025 Top Ten is one of eight concurrent experimental portfolios. So, where do we stand if we combine eight years of the Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiments?

  • 2018 Top Ten Experiment: up +46% (total value $1,457)
  • 2019 Top Ten Experiment: up +668% (total value $7,683)
  • 2020 Top Ten Experiment: up +867% (total value $9,674) (best performing portfolio)
  • 2021 Top Ten Experiment: up +301% (total value $4,015)
  • 2022 Top Ten Experiment: down -18% (total value $824) (tied for worst performing portfolio)
  • 2023 Top Ten Experiment: up +153% (total value $2,533)
  • 2024 Top Ten Experiment: up +44% (total value $1,444)
  • 2025 Top Ten Experiment: down -18% (total value $824) (tied for worst performing portfolio)

Taking the eight portfolios together:

After a $8,000 total investment in the 2018 – 2025 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies, the combined portfolios are worth $28,453.

https://preview.redd.it/3hokvf5hc1df1.png?width=501&format=png&auto=webp&s=8a3e611002f9049635ea66fdfbe8a44428f0d946

That’s up +256% on the combined portfolio. The peak for the combined Top Ten Index Fund Experiment Portfolios was November 2021’s all time high of +533%.

Here’s the combined monthly ROI since I started tracking the metric in January 2020:

https://preview.redd.it/wjpim6cic1df1.png?width=898&format=png&auto=webp&s=d36aecfe9946dcb52f99c9a43cf8c3ca2066a2db

In summary: That’s a +256% gain by investing $1k on whichever cryptos happened to be in the Top Ten on January 1st (including stablecoins) for eight straight years.

Comparison to S&P 500

I’m also tracking the S&P 500 as part of my Experiment to have a comparison point to traditional markets.

https://preview.redd.it/fa00ytcjc1df1.png?width=970&format=png&auto=webp&s=f6630f5b664991235098b32c20312517b6fc9804

The S&P 500 is up +5% so far in 2025, so the initial $1k investment into crypto on New Year’s Day would be worth $1,054 had it been redirected to the S&P.

Taking the same invest-$1,000-on-January-1st-of-each-year approach with the S&P 500 that I’ve been documenting through the Top Ten Crypto Experiments, the yields are the following:

  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2018 = $2,319 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2019 = $2,473 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2020 = $1,919 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2021 = $1,650 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2022 = $1,300 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2023 = $1,614 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2024 = $1,299 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2025 = $1,054 today

Taken together, the results for a similar approach with the S&P:

After eight $1,000 annual investments on January 1st into an S&P 500 index fund from 2018 to 2025 my portfolio would be worth $13,629.

That is up +70% since January 2018 compared to a +256% gain of the combined Top Ten Crypto Experiment Portfolios.

The visual below shows a comparison on ROI between a Top Ten Crypto approach and the S&P as per the rules of the Top Ten Experiments:

https://preview.redd.it/aypowpdkc1df1.png?width=1132&format=png&auto=webp&s=2079154c1cbb8f70a833dfc46e9141c2cd2f76cd

Conclusion:

To the long time followers of the Top Ten Experiments, thank you for sticking around so long. For those just getting into crypto, I hope these reports will help prepare you for the highs and lows that await on your crypto adventures. Buckle up, go with the flow, think long term, and truly don’t invest what you can’t afford to lose. Most importantly, take care of your family, yourselves, and try to enjoy the ride.

A reporting note: I’ll focus on 2025 Top Ten Portfolio reports + one other portfolio on a rotating basis this year, so expect two reports per month. June’s extended report is on the 2023 Top Ten Portfolio. For more data, you can check out the latest 2018-2024 Top Ten reports as well.

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