If you wish to trade Bitcoin, and not just HODL, here is how based on historical data.

Buy Bitcoin:

When price is below 2 Year Moving Average

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2y MA Buytimes

When Puell Year Multiple is below 0.5

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Puell Buytimes

When Fear and Greed Index is below 20

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F&G Buytimes

Buy times usually line up: Like in January of 2019.

Sell Bitcoin:

When price is above 2 Year Moving Average x5

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2y MA Selltimes

When Puell Year Multiple is above 4.0

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Puell Selltimes

When Fear and Greed Index is above 75

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F&G Selltimes

Selltimes line up less, but did so at the end of 2014 and end of 2018.

It’s that easy. I mean I'm not going to do it because I’m never selling the greatest most appreciating asset I own, but if you are so included, these are your best bets.