Bitcoin TA: Technical Breakout Suggests BTC Could Rally Above $40K

Bitcoin price is holding gains above the $38,000 pivot level against the US Dollar. BTC is signaling more gains above the $40,000 resistance zone in the near term.

• Bitcoin is showing positive signs above the $37,000 and $38,000 resistance levels.
• The price is trading nicely above the $37,000 zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance near $38,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair is likely to accelerate higher above the $39,500 and $40,000 resistance levels.

Bitcoin Price Aims Upside Break

Bitcoin corrected lower after testing the $40,000 resistance zone. BTC declined below $38,000, but it remained supported near the $37,000 zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

A low was formed near $36,500 and the price started a fresh increase. It broke the $37,000 and $38,000 resistance levels. There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $40,155 swing high to $36,508 swing low.

There was also a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance near $38,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair is now trading nicely above the $37,000 zone and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

An immediate resistance is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $40,155 swing high to $36,508 swing low. The main resistance is still near the $40,000 zone. A clear upside break above the $40,000 resistance zone could spark a strong upward move.

The next major resistance is near the $42,000 level. Any more gains could open the doors for a larger recovery towards the $45,000 level.

Dips Supported in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $40,000 resistance, there is a risk of a downside correction. An initial support on the downside is near the $38,200 level.

The first major support is still near the $37,000 zone and the 100 hourly SMA. If there is a downside break below the $37,000 support, the price could decline towards the $35,000 support zone in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is well above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $38,200, followed by $37,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $39,500, $40,000 and $42,000.