What is a realistic potential price for ethereum?

Hi Guys I hope some of you can enlighten me, I read a lot of blogs of people saying that ETH could reach 50k or even 150k usd in the future, but is it really true?

I checked on coin perspective and if ETH reaches the same market cap of BTC its value would be around 9.3k but I don't think the price takes the deflation that eip 1559 is going to bring, also I am not sure how the eth 2.0 is going to impact the price too.

Does anyone know the math for the price, (e.g. market cap/coin in circulation or other variable) so that we can have a realistic ETH potential price? please don't answer with your sentiments but just numbers, thanks to whom will answer.

TDLR' looking for a realistic model to calculate eth future price based on the market cap after the future updates