Win/Loss Ratio of Bloody Sundays. How Often Does It Happens? (2017-2021 Data)
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Caution- This might be lengthy & amateurish. I'm learning. I was looking at the Excel sheet of BTC price over the years, and wanted to examine the occurrences of a Bloody Sunday. So, I searched for BTC's price from 2017-2021, and examined it. I'm presenting it this time with a simple Win/Loss Ratio, with some data of the occurrences. Change of plans: Posts can't contain more than 20 images. So I'm gonna share all W/L Ratios only. I took (A) BTC's average daily price
The purpose is to check the Win/Loss ratio in between each Sundays, and then understand the occurrences of the gains and losses, and its severity. 2017 Sundays
Before: W66/L40 After: W76/L30 2018 Sundays
Before: W57/L47 After: W47/L57 2019 Sundays
Before: W58/L46 After**:** W52/L52 2020 Sundays
Before: W57/L47 After**: W69** (nice) / L32 2021 Sundays (As of 10th April)
Before: W16/L12 After: W15/L13 Amateur Analysis: 2017: There seems to be a strong pattern suggesting that the market grows stronger before and after Sundays. This might be due to the bull market. However, it is visible that if it dips, it dips rather significantly. 2018: There seems to be a close pattern between gains and losses in the market. The market barely performs alright before Sunday, and there are consistent patterns of Sundays performing poorly on 1D-A and 3D-A patterns in 2018. This might be due to the bear market. The dips are rather significant when it happens. 2019: Market performed decently positive 3D-B with 30W/22L; but the rest seems to be fairly even. 2020: Market performed fairly even on 3D-B, and 1D-B, but there's a clear positive gains on 1D-A, and 3D-A. When the dip does happens, it is rather significant, but it recovers quite well. 2021: Market seems to perform well 3D-B, but performs poorly 1D-B. There is no clear pattern as the performance on Sunday on 1D an 3D performance after Sundays are even. TL;DR: 2017: There seems to be a strong pattern suggesting that the market is steady before and after Sundays. This might be due to the bull market. However, it is visible that if it dips, it dips rather significantly. 2018: There seems to be a close pattern between gains and losses in the market. The market barely performs alright before Sunday, and there are consistent patterns of Sundays performing poorly on 1D-A and 3D-A patterns in 2018. This might be due to the bear market. The dips are rather significant when it happens. 2019: Market performed decently positive 3D-B with 30W/22L; but the rest seems to be fairly even. 2020: Market performed fairly even on 3D-B, and 1D-B, but there's a clear positive gains on 1D-A, and 3D-A. When the dip does happens, it is rather significant, but it recovers quite well after 1-3 days. 2021: Market seems to perform OK 3D-B, but performs poorly 1D-B. There is no clear pattern as the performance on Sunday on 1D an 3D performance after Sundays but when changes does happen, it is significant. There are more significant gains than losses in 2021 on 3D-A. Editor's Note: The Changes in Trade Volume shows a clearer pattern. I might put it in here but it might be a bit overbearing. I'll sleep on it and do another thread tomorrow JUST on trade volume. There's a significant pattern showing lower amount of trade volume on 1-3 days before Sunday, and increase in volume after 1-3 days. submitted by /u/the_far_yard |
