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Placeholder VC’s Chris Burniske sees one of the best long-term setups for Bitcoin building in the background – but he is clear that the real opportunity likely lies lower, with a potential test of levels near $56,000 still ahead. On X, Burniske argues that the current sentiment environment is exactly what eventually produces outsized returns, while warning that it is still early for aggressive deployment. “There’s so much pessimism and short-term thinking on crypto assets these days that the R/R is tilting towards optimism and long-term, sized, high-conviction positions in distressed, public, cryptoassets,” he writes. “That said, the time isn’t yet now, imo.” Bitcoin Bear Market Not Over Yet He reiterates a framework he first shared when Bitcoin was trading at $109,000: “I shared my view @ $109K that BTC only starts to get interesting < $75K, and a revisit of the 200W SMA is always possible (~$56K currently, will trend higher), with all of those numbers still representing a mellow bear.” For Burniske, a move into that band – and even a touch of the 200-week simple moving average – would not mean a structural breakdown, but a more orderly, “mellow” bear market reset. He adds a blunt caveat: “Can we go lower? Sure. Pay your taxes and let’s see what 2026 brings.” Related Reading: Analyst Sets Bitcoin Next Target At $95k-$96k – Here’s Why That patience extends beyond Bitcoin to the broader crypto complex. As an example, he highlights Monad’s MON token, where Placeholder is a venture investor. He describes MON as “one of the highest quality teams to launch in the last few years,” arguing it “sits at a tenth of the FDV of previous high-flyers in its category, while having superior tech & design choices across the board.” For him, MON’s price action is symptomatic of the broader reset: “Observing discourse & price-action around MON … shows how much repricing is happening.” Burniske sees that repricing as necessary rather than catastrophic. “More broadly, the vicious repricing happening in crypto is cathartic,” he says. “Everyone is taking their licks, and smart ones will learn and adapt.” In his framework, tokens are “liquid venture,” and the failure rate should be treated accordingly: “Most crypto assets should go to zero — this is liquid venture, what did you expect?” Related Reading: Newbie Bitcoin Whales Capitulating, But Old Hands Stay Silent The flip side is that a small minority of assets will, in his view, be marked down far too aggressively as “babies are thrown out with the bathwater.” For those, timing and conviction matter more than ever: “there are going to be a handful that reprice far too low … and having the conviction, at the right time, to be optimistic when the consensus is pessimistic will once again yield 10-100X’s.” For now, Burniske’s message to would-be Bitcoin bottom fishers is straightforward: the structural risk–reward is improving, but a convincing bottom may still require a deeper break – potentially toward the rising 200-week moving average around $56,000 – before long-term, high-conviction capital truly steps in. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $85,872. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Soaring Japanese bond yields ignited a rush out of risk assets, hammering bitcoin below key levels as the yen carry trade unwound and volatility ripped through crypto and metals, intensifying fears of deeper rate-driven losses. Peter Schiff Cites 10-Year JGB at 1.84% and Rising as Bitcoin and Other Crypto Get Killed Bitcoin’s latest drop drew […]
Similar to major assets in the cryptosphere, Dogecoin (DOGE) is facing renewed selling pressure as broader crypto market weakness intensifies, pushing the memecoin below several key technical levels. Related Reading: $300 Million Crypto Bet: Kazakhstan’s Central Bank Gears Up The decline occurs amid outflows, a weakening market structure, and fading speculative interest, raising questions about whether a deeper correction may be underway. DOGE’s price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: DOGEUSD on Tradingview Dogecoin Breaks Key Supports as Selling Pressure Mounts Dogecoin slipped below important support areas after breaking a bullish trend line on the hourly chart, continuing a multi-day downtrend. The price now trades below the 100-hour simple moving average, near $0.13, with MACD momentum strengthening in the bearish zone and the RSI remaining below 50. The coin declined more than 8% in 24 hours, falling through multiple Fibonacci retracement zones and failing to regain footing above the 23.6% level of the latest swing move. Analysts note that immediate resistance lies near the 50% retracement of the recent decline. A close above that threshold is needed to ease short-term downside pressure. Failure to break above these resistance areas has kept momentum tilted toward sellers, with a retest of recent lows likely if the market does not stabilize. Weak Flows and Derivatives Contraction Deepen Market Strain Spot market flows show persistent distribution. Recent data revealed a $5.7 million outflow, extending the multi-month trend of reduced accumulation from large holders. Earlier inflows that supported rallies toward $0.30 have given way to steady red prints, reflecting waning confidence among major players. Derivatives markets reinforce the weakening structure. Open interest has dropped more than 9% as traders unwind positions rather than add exposure during declines. Long-short ratios show a mild long bias, but price action has repeatedly invalidated those positions, triggering waves of long-side liquidations whenever DOGE attempts to rise above short-term moving averages. These repeated failed rallies have kept Dogecoin locked beneath declining EMAs between $0.154 and $0.202, a structure analysts say remains firmly bearish. DOGE ETF Disappointment and Market Rotation Add Further Pressure Dogecoin’s recently launched ETFs have not provided support. Combined inflows from major issuers barely surpassed $2 million, far below expectations and significantly weaker than the debut flows seen in Bitcoin or Ethereum funds. The soft demand has signaled limited institutional appetite for the memecoin, contributing to negative sentiment. Related Reading: XRP Hit By Violent 59% Leverage Flush As Speculators Slam The Brakes Meanwhile, market rotation is moving toward utility-focused assets and payment-driven networks. Declining volume and low whale activity suggest traders may be shifting away from meme assets in favor of projects showing faster adoption and real-world use cases. Cover image from ChatGPT, DOGEUSD chart from Tradingview
Ripple’s expanded Singapore license clears the way for broader regulated crypto payment services, sharpening its push to deliver faster, more efficient digital asset infrastructure across a region central to Asia Pacific’s accelerating blockchain adoption. MAS Greenlight Boosts Ripple’s Digital Token Integration With Global Rails Ripple announced on Dec. 1 that the Monetary Authority of Singapore […]
Bitcoin is fighting to reclaim the $90,000 level after a sharp drop earlier today, adding fuel to growing fears of a deeper downtrend. Market sentiment has weakened noticeably, with selling pressure intensifying across spot and derivatives markets. Traders remain cautious as liquidity thins and volatility increases, creating an environment where even minor inflows can trigger outsized price reactions. The recent rejection below $90K highlights the fragility of the current structure and raises questions about whether Bitcoin is entering a more prolonged corrective phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Break Key Supply Clusters To Regain ATH Momentum – Watch These Levels However, beneath the surface, on-chain data reveals a striking counter-signal. According to On-Chain Mind, Bitcoin is currently printing the largest hidden-buying spike of the entire cycle. Order flow analysis tracks the relationship between actual buy/sell pressure and the corresponding price movement. When the two do not align, hidden divergences emerge: positive divergences indicate aggressive buying despite muted price action, while negative ones reflect stealth selling. The size of this hidden-buying spike suggests a major imbalance in favor of buyers—an early sign that large players may be quietly accumulating while the broader market focuses on the decline. Whether this hidden demand can offset the prevailing sell pressure will determine Bitcoin’s next decisive move. Hidden Buying Supports Reversal Narrative Despite Macro Fear According to On-Chain Mind, the persistent hidden-buying spike remains one of the strongest signals favoring a future upside reversal. Even after Bitcoin’s most recent drop, the imbalance between real buying pressure and price action suggests that large players are still absorbing supply. While this type of signal does not guarantee an immediate rebound—and may take several weeks to fully materialize—it indicates that buyers have not exhausted their resources. Historically, such divergences appear near cyclical inflection points, when sentiment is weakest, but accumulation quietly strengthens beneath the surface. This constructive signal emerges at a time when fear in the market is amplified by external narratives. Renewed headlines about a China Bitcoin ban, despite being recycled and lacking substantive policy updates, have resurfaced across social media, contributing to confusion and short-term panic. Similarly, fresh waves of Tether FUD—focused on reserve transparency and regulatory scrutiny—have pressured liquidity conditions and fueled risk-off behavior. Together, these storylines have exaggerated bearish sentiment, overshadowing the more nuanced on-chain developments. While retail reacts to alarming headlines, order flow data suggests that sophisticated investors are taking the opposite stance. If hidden accumulation continues, this correction may ultimately resolve with a stronger recovery than current sentiment implies. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Loss Transfers Fall 80% From Peak – What Comes Next? Bitcoin Attempts to Stabilize After Sharp Breakdown, but Trend Remains Fragile Bitcoin’s 1-day chart reflects a market still under heavy corrective pressure following the steep decline from the $110,000 region. The breakdown sliced through the 50 SMA and 100 SMA with little resistance, signaling a decisive shift in momentum. Price is now hovering below both moving averages, which have begun to curl downward—an early sign that the medium-term trend has weakened. The 200 SMA around the $109,000 zone sits far above the current price, underscoring how aggressive the correction has been. After reaching a local low near $83,000, BTC has attempted to rebound, but the reaction remains modest. The latest bounce failed to reclaim $90,000 convincingly, forming a lower high that aligns with bearish continuation. Related Reading: XRP Reserves On Binance Collapse To Record Lows: Investors Move Toward Long-Term Holding Volume spikes during sell-offs reinforce the dominance of sellers, while buying activity remains comparatively muted. Until BTC can flip the 50 and 100 SMAs back into support—now clustered around $101,000–$108,000—bulls will struggle to regain control. The chart also shows increasing distance between price and the 200 SMA, a condition that often precedes temporary relief rallies. However, unless Bitcoin closes back above the $95,000–$98,000 region, downside risks persist. For now, BTC is attempting to stabilize, but the broader trend continues to favor caution. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin fudged the breakout to $93,000 as global TradFi markets stumbled and BTC spot investors failed to provide the necessary volume.
Jordan is set to lift its ban on cryptocurrency trading, with the Jordan Securities Commission confirming that a comprehensive digital asset regulatory framework will be ready before the end of the year. Shift from Prohibition to Regulation Jordan is moving to lift its ban on cryptocurrency trading, with the government and the Jordan Securities Commission […]
Ryan Navi will guide Forward Industries’ Solana treasury strategy as digital asset companies’ shares face steep market declines.
Arthur Hayes believes Tether, the largest stablecoin issuer, is positioning for upcoming dovish Federal Reserve moves. Hayes pointed to rising gold and bitcoin as evidence, saying these assets would likely rally in a low‑interest‑rate scenario. Arthur Hayes: Tether Prepares For Low Interest Rate Scenario The Facts Arthur Hayes, former CEO of Bitmex, has addressed the […]
